Obamania the Day After November 6, 2008Posted by Adam Nowland in Election 2008, Politics, President Bush, President Obama, Republican Party, U.S. Government.
Tags: Democratic Party, economic crisis, Election 2008, Ginsburg, GOP, Great Society, John Paul Stevens, President Bush, President Obama, President-elect Obama, Republican Party, Scalia, Supreme Court, War on Terror
Congratulations, Democrats. After eight years, you and your party have seized control of the White House with Senator Barack Obama’s victory over Republican Senator John McCain on Tuesday. Throw this in with your increased majorities in both the Senate and the House of Representatives, and you must feel like you are flying on top of the world. In fact, with all the outpouring of love for America expressed since the election, you may very well be doing just that. Just think of the circumstances. The first black American President? Check. A sweeping endorsement of liberal control of the country? Check. Your biggest opponent, the hated GOP, reeling and searching for answers? Check.
So break out the glasses and pop open the bubbly – after all, nothing can stand in your way now, right? Now is the time to push for social equality, increase taxes on the rich and give generously to the poor. Pack the Supreme Court with liberal-minded judges who will uphold Roe v. Wade and stop pesky Justices like Scalia and Roberts in their tracks. Now that Bush is gone, we can bring home the soldiers to well-earned confetti and parades, ending the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan in one fell swoop. After all, if we’re not over there, the problem should take care of itself, right? Now is the time for Obama to start implementing all those wonderful promises he made while crisscrossing the nation over the last few months, correct?
There are a number of reasons why Democrats and other liberals will be disappointed during Obama’s initial work in the Oval Office. (more…)
The Demise of Anti-Americanism…Hardly November 6, 2008Posted by Sean Varner in Election 2008, President Bush, President Obama, U.S. Foreign Relations.
Tags: Election 2008, U.S. Foreign Relations
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Barack H. Obama has been elected president, so gone are the days of anti-American protests throughout the world, critical allies, and hostile rivals. Right? His election was greeted with glee in Western Europe, banner headlines from London to Tokyo, and with the slaughtering of goats and bulls in Kenya (I’m sure PETA was pleased). Here is a sampling of the global ecstasy. However, just because the president will no longer be a “cowboy” or “unilateralist” does not mean that we have seen the end of global anti-Americanism.
President George W. Bush was neither the beginning nor the end of a global antipathy to the United States. A global distrust or envy of the US existed long before he ascended to the office in 2001 and will likely exist long after Obama’s term ends in 2012. What, then, accounts for Obama’s seemingly unprecedented world popularity and “citizen of the world” status? Well, his unique ties to Kenya and Indonesia certainly feed the impression that his ties (and hence, worldview) are not constricted to the United States. He will very likely go through a honeymoon period with the world, after which, when they realize he is still an American (and hopefully he will act as such) their euphoria will transition to apathy or resentment.
Indeed, unless Obama intends to “spread the wealth” to the 3rd world, withdraw the US military from its overseas bases, and open our borders to unlimited immigration, he will face anti-Americanism just as frequently as President Bush has. Do not expect the protests at the World Bank, G-8, or IMF summits to stop all of the sudden. Global jihadists will still attempt to strike at the United States or its military forces at any opportunity they foresee. And our rivals will clamor as loudly as ever, sensing weakness, that the US should not act as the lone great power and allow them to establish their own spheres of influence (i.e. Russia in Eastern Europe, China in the Western Pacific, Venezuela in the Carribbean, etc.).
Incredible to believe? Its already started to happen. Russian President Dmitry Medvedev stated he hoped Obama would engage in “constructive dialogue…on the basis of trust” in this news story. In the same speech, he announced Russia would be deploying short-range ballistic missiles to Kaliningrad, a discontiguous part of Russia in between Poland and Lithuania. The idea that the Russians could be trusted in any sort of dialogue when they place offensive missiles (not defensive ones like the interceptors we are placing in Poland) next to our allies illustrates how different they believe Obama will be from Bush.
But our allies will like us a lot more, right? Sure. They’ve always wanted to feel they were more a part of the loop in US foreign policy. A multilateralist Obama is a huge vindication of their calls for the US to stop “going it alone.” However, with more conservative governments in charge in Berlin, Paris, and London (somewhat), they are likely to be frustrated by Obama’s foreign policy priorities. Also, like our rivals, their elites and people will try to get as many concessions and “goodies” out of Washington as they can. Though this may not seem to be the anti-Americanism Bush confronted, it certainly is. Whereas Bush encountered anti-Americanism because of the strength of the US, Obama will likely witness it as an effect of contempt for the US. No more anti-Americanism? Hardly.
For the Wages of Obama… November 5, 2008Posted by Sean Varner in Election 2008, Politics, President Obama, U.S. Foreign Relations, Uncategorized.
Tags: American Primacy, Election 2008, Foreign Policy, President Obama
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Barack H. Obama has become the President Elect of the United States of America. After 22 months of constant campaigning he was finally able to seal the deal. Aided by a cult of personality constructed by the youth and minorities, a reverent media, a war chest that would make the Spanish Empire blush, and perhaps the only major financial crisis to occur at the height of an election, Obama was able to essentially cruise to victory as long as he did not make any mistakes and appeared presidential.
What, then, are the consequences of this admittedly historic election? The American people should be prepared to reap what they have sown. In electing possibly the most inexperienced candidate since William Jennings Bryan, they have virtually ensured that America’s primacy in the world will recede. Obama has exhibited his desire to be a citizen of the world, and it is exceedingly unlikely that he would stand up for America in international relations. The reason so many of our European allies preferred him so strongly is that they know they can walk all over him and make themselves equal in stature to the US. Russia, China, and Venezuela know that Obama will not stand up to them and that they will essentially have a free ride to engage in whatever behavior they choose over the next four years (bad news for Ukraine and Taiwan).
An insight into Obama’s foreign policy can also be gleaned from reports that he would appoint Samantha Power to be his Secretary of State. Power is very much a part of the Madeline Albright school of foreign affairs, also known as “intervention when the interests of the United States are not at stake.” She would also elevate the issue of human rights as a reason for military intervention to an unprecedented degree. In other words, troops will likely be diverted away from Iraq and to areas like Darfur, Somalia, and other 3rd world regions experiencing turmoil. As Obama adopts this Clinton-esque approach to US troop deployment, expect Iran to quickly finish development of its nuclear program and for China to modernize its military at an even more breakneck pace.
What, then, does the election of Barack Obama to the presidency mean for the United States? In their euphoria to rid the White House of a Republican occupant, the voters have signaled to our allies and enemies alike that the US would like to withdraw from its position in the world. While we will not be isolationist, we will certainly not be able to exert the same degree of influence and power we could under George W. Bush. Every foreign leader knows Obama is weak and, per Joe Biden’s prediction, they will test him very soon. And if he does not prove to be strong, resistant, or stubborn, it is a virtual certainty they will continue to push the envelope and engage in more assertive or aggressive behavior.
These, therefore, are the wages of an Obama presidency. The US, which has held a position of primacy in the world since the end of the Cold War, will begin a retreat in the face of assertive allies and aggressive rivals. American allies encircling China may hedge their strategies by pursuing a more neutral course or approaching Beijing. Previously enthusiastic Eastern European/Caucasus nations yearning to join NATO may instead realign themselves to friendlier relationships with Moscow, fearing the US would not come to their aid. It is unarguable that McCain would have maintained American primacy in the world during his one-term presidency. Unfortunately, there is no going back from here and buyer’s remorse will not solve our problems. The next four years will in all likelihood witness the most dramatic weakening of America’s status in the world since the end of the Vietnam War.